《Water Resources 》刊登“20-21世纪欧亚大陆北部大江大河水文情势”

作者： Khon, VC (Khon, V. Ch.); Mokhov, II (Mokhov, I. I.)

刊物：《Water Resources》，2012年，39卷第1期，1-10页

关键词：河川径流；降水；气候变化；全球气候模型

摘要：本研究使用现代气候模型具有的模拟年平均河川径流情势和年内分布的功能来评估欧亚大陆的大多数大河流域，这些流域包括伏尔加河流域、阿穆尔河流域和西比利亚区域内的大多数河流：鄂毕河、叶尼塞河以及勒拿河等。同时也对21世纪晚期流域面积内的季节性径流和日降水特征（雨量、降水速率、降水概率）可能出现的变化进行了估计。本研究的分析中所涉及和使用的大气环流模型计算结果是来自于国际耦合模型比较项目的。

The Hydrological Regime of Large River Basins in Northern Eurasia in the XX-XXI Centuries

Authors: Khon, VC (Khon, V. Ch.); Mokhov, II (Mokhov, I. I.)

Journal: Water Resources, 2012, Volume 39, Issue 1, pages 1-10

Key words: river runoff; precipitation; climate change; global climate models

Abstract: The ability of present-day climate models to reproduce the mean annual regime of river runoff and its within-year distribution is evaluated for major Eurasian basins, including the basins of the Volga and Amur and the major Siberian rivers: the Ob, Yenisei, and Lena. Estimates are made for possible variations in seasonal runoff and characteristics of daily precipitation (the amount, rate, and probability) in drainage areas for the late XXI century. The analysis involved the use of the results of calculations by climatic general circulation models carried out under international Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

原文链接：http://link.springer.com/10.1134%2FS0097807812010058?LI=true&from=SL